NFL Week 6 best bets: Picks for every Sunday game

Every Friday during the NFL season, ESPN betting analysts Doug Kezirian (2-0 last week, 6-8 overall), Joe Fortenbaugh (3-4, 11-20), Anita Marks (3-7, 14-23), Preston Johnson (1-1, 7-10), Mike Clay (1-1, 9-4) and Tyler Fulghum (4-2, 8-9), sports betting deputy editor David Bearman (2-1, 10-5), Seth Walder (3-1, 12-10) of ESPN analytics and Aaron Schatz (1-4, 13-15-1) of Football Outsiders will tell us what they like from Sunday’s slate.

Note: Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill as of Thursday.

1 p.m. ET games

Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (-4, 54.5)

Schatz: Looking at play-by-play efficiency, the Vikings are a lot better than their record this year. In fact, they rank 11th so far in our DVOA ratings, including eighth on offense and 15th on defense. The Vikings have played their best offense when down by more than a touchdown, but our research has shown that performance is still predictive for the future.

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