Best bets for UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen

    Reed Kuhn is a Silicon Valley entrepreneur, and strategy and analytics consultant. He is the author of “Fightnomics: The Hidden Numbers and Science in Mixed Martial Arts,” the first book to quantify drivers and performance metrics in combat sports.

Fight Island is in full swing, and this Saturday’s card marks the midpoint between two big pay-per-views in Abu Dhabi. The winner of this week’s main event will enter a small but tangled bantamweight title picture behind current champion Petr Yan.

Depending on whether Henry Cejudo stays retired or Aljamain Sterling gets a near-term shot, either Marlon Moraes or Cory Sandhagen will have something to say about who’s next if they earn a post-fight victory speech.

Prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET Saturday on ESPN+, and the main card starts at 8 p.m. ET.

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill as of Thursday.

Main event: Marlon Moraes (+120) vs. Cory Sandhagen (-140)

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